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Football/Ekstraklasa/Pogon Szczecin v Korona Kielce
Ekstraklasa · Stadion Miejski im Floriana Krygiera

Pogon Szczecin v Korona Kielce: how it went

Pogon Szczecin crestPogon SzczecinDDDWW
2 - 0
Korona Kielce crestKorona Kielce8th of 18 · 15 ptsWDWLW
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Korona Kielce to score 1 or fewer 69%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.5 goals from Pogon Szczecin and 1.0 from Korona Kielce, so Pogon Szczecin come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Pogon Szczecin come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Korona Kielce to score 1 or fewer. This is about Korona Kielce's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 69%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.50, which works out at about 67 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Pogon Szczecin are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
✓Korona Kielce have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent results

16 Mar 2026Pogon Szczecin 2 - 1 Korona Kielce
13 Sept 2025Korona Kielce 1 - 0 Pogon Szczecin
9 Dec 2024Korona Kielce 0 - 0 Pogon Szczecin
20 Jul 2024Pogon Szczecin 3 - 0 Korona Kielce
17 Mar 2024Korona Kielce 2 - 2 Pogon Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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Every game on Sunday, 11 October 2026 →
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