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Football/Ekstraklasa/Gornik Zabrze v Lech Poznan
Ekstraklasa · Stadion im Ernesta Pohla

Gornik Zabrze v Lech Poznan prediction

Gornik Zabrze crestGornik ZabrzeWWWLW
v
Lech Poznan crestLech PoznanDWWWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Gornik Zabrze and 1.4 from Lech Poznan, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Lech Poznan come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.50, which works out at about 67 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Gornik Zabrze have won four of their last five.
Lech Poznan are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.
Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

7 Feb 2026Gornik Zabrze 0 - 1 Lech Poznan
2 Aug 2025Lech Poznan 2 - 1 Gornik Zabrze
6 Dec 2024Gornik Zabrze 2 - 1 Lech Poznan
21 Jul 2024Lech Poznan 2 - 0 Gornik Zabrze
9 Mar 2024Gornik Zabrze 0 - 0 Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

More Ekstraklasa fixtures

Full fixture list
Lech Poznan crestLech PoznanvRakowRakow crest★★★★★
Lech Poznan are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-1.1), and we make them about 59% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookLech Poznan to win · 1.64Share
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