Pogon Szczecin v Wieczysta Krakow: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 2. We made Wieczysta Krakow to score 1 or fewer 70%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.1 goals from Pogon Szczecin and 1.2 from Wieczysta Krakow, so Pogon Szczecin come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Pogon Szczecin come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Wieczysta Krakow to score 1 or fewer. This is about Wieczysta Krakow's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 70%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.50, which works out at about 67 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.