How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Jagiellonia or Draw 68%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Jagiellonia and 1.2 from Gornik Zabrze, so Jagiellonia come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Jagiellonia come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Jagiellonia or Draw. This covers Jagiellonia or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.43, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Gornik Zabrze have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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