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Football/Ekstraklasa/Jagiellonia v Gornik Zabrze
Ekstraklasa · Chorten Arena

Jagiellonia v Gornik Zabrze prediction

Jagiellonia crestJagielloniaLWLLL
v
Gornik Zabrze crestGornik ZabrzeWWWWD

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Jagiellonia and 1.2 from Gornik Zabrze, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Jagiellonia come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.

What the numbers say
✓Jagiellonia have won one of their last five.
✓Gornik Zabrze are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

24 Apr 2026Jagiellonia 1 - 2 Gornik Zabrze
26 Oct 2025Gornik Zabrze 2 - 1 Jagiellonia
4 May 2025Jagiellonia 1 - 1 Gornik Zabrze
3 Nov 2024Gornik Zabrze 0 - 2 Jagiellonia
2 Mar 2024Gornik Zabrze 2 - 1 Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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