What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from Jagiellonia and 1.1 from Slask Wroclaw, so Jagiellonia come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Jagiellonia (Draw No Bet). Jagiellonia are favoured here (xG 2.0-1.1), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Jagiellonia defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Slask Wroclaw win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. We make it about 74% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
