How it turned out
We projected about 3.1 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Jagiellonia (Draw No Bet) 69%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.0 goals from Jagiellonia and 1.1 from Slask Wroclaw, so Jagiellonia come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Slask Wroclaw come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Jagiellonia (Draw No Bet). Jagiellonia are favoured here (xG 2.0-1.1), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Jagiellonia defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 1-1, with three drawn.
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