Pogon Szczecin v Wisla Plock: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.7 goals from Pogon Szczecin and 0.7 from Wisla Plock, so Pogon Szczecin come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Pogon Szczecin come into this on two straight draws. Wisla Plock come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.4 goals in total (xG 1.7-0.8), keeping it under more often than not (about 74%). Clear chances should be at a premium.

We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.