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Football/Ekstraklasa/Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce
Ekstraklasa · ENEA Stadion

Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce prediction

Lech Poznan crestLech PoznanWWWLW
v
Korona Kielce crestKorona Kielce8th of 18 · 15 ptsWLLWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.7 goals from Lech Poznan and 0.9 from Korona Kielce, so Lech Poznan come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Korona Kielce to score 1 or fewer. This is about Korona Kielce's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 77%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Lech Poznan have won four of their last five.
✓Korona Kielce have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

22 Feb 2026Korona Kielce 1 - 2 Lech Poznan
16 Aug 2025Lech Poznan 1 - 1 Korona Kielce
5 Apr 2025Lech Poznan 2 - 0 Korona Kielce
29 Sept 2024Korona Kielce 2 - 3 Lech Poznan
25 May 2024Lech Poznan 1 - 2 Korona Kielce
Lech Poznan have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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