What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Cracovia and 1.3 from Legia, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This does not need a goal rush: we make it around 2.5 goals (xG 1.2-1.3), and two is enough to land it, landing about 74% of the time on these numbers.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Cracovia have won one of their last five.
✓Legia are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
8 Mar 2026Legia 1 - 0 Cracovia
31 Aug 2025Cracovia 2 - 1 Legia
18 May 2025Cracovia 3 - 1 Legia
23 Nov 2024Legia 3 - 2 Cracovia
20 Dec 2023Cracovia 2 - 0 Legia
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