What to expect
The game between Legia and Radomiak Radom looks like it could be a bit one sided. We think Legia are the stronger team, and the numbers back that up. They are expected to score almost twice as many goals as Radomiak Radom, which suggests they have a good chance of winning.
If we look at the recent games between these two teams, we can see that they are quite evenly matched. Out of their last 5 meetings, each team has won 2 games, and 1 has been a draw. These games have also been quite high scoring, with an average of 3.8 goals per game. The most recent meeting was a 1-1 draw, which was back in March.
We think Legia will win this game, and the price looks good to us. We make them about 62% to win, which is close to the price available. This makes us think that taking them to win is a good option, rather than looking for a bigger price on something else. We think this is the cleaner play, and we are happy to go with it.
We do think that Radomiak Radom could cause some problems, especially if they can get an early goal. They have been struggling lately, with 4 straight defeats, but they have beaten Legia before. If they can get some momentum going, they might be able to make the game closer than we think. However, based on the numbers, we still think Legia are the most likely to win.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
Radomiak Radom only need one good spell or a set-piece to nick something, and short-priced favourites slip up plenty. We make it about 62% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.