What to expect
We expect about 1.9 goals from Pogon Szczecin and 1.1 from Radomiak Radom, so Pogon Szczecin come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Pogon Szczecin come into this on three straight wins. Radomiak Radom come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Pogon Szczecin to win. Pogon Szczecin are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-1.1), and we make them about 58% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.82, which works out at about 55 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Radomiak Radom have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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