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Football/Ekstraklasa/Widzew Lodz v Wisla
Ekstraklasa · Stadion Widzewa

Widzew Lodz v Wisla prediction

Widzew Lodz crestWidzew LodzDLDDD
v
Wisla crestWisla4th of 18 · 17 ptsWDWWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Widzew Lodz and 1.3 from Wisla, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Widzew Lodz come into this on three straight draws. Wisla come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Wisla to score. This is about Wisla's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 72%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Widzew Lodz have not won any of their last five.
✓Wisla are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.
✓Three of the last four meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

5 Apr 2014Widzew Lodz 2 - 1 Wisla
29 Oct 2013Wisla 3 - 0 Widzew Lodz
26 Apr 2013Wisla 1 - 0 Widzew Lodz
26 Oct 2012Widzew Lodz 1 - 2 Wisla
Wisla have won three of the last four meetings.

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