What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from Lillestrom and 1.5 from Valerenga, so Lillestrom come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 2.0-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 60%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Lillestrom have not won any of their last five.
✓Valerenga have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
19 Apr 2026Valerenga 0 - 2 Lillestrom
22 Oct 2023Lillestrom 2 - 0 Valerenga
1 May 2023Valerenga 3 - 4 Lillestrom
4 Sept 2022Valerenga 3 - 1 Lillestrom
25 May 2022Lillestrom 2 - 0 Valerenga
