How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 2. We made Both teams to score 59%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Start and 1.9 from Brann, so Brann come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.9), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.53, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Brann have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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