Tromsoe IL v Bodo/Glimt prediction

What to expect

We expect about 0.9 goals from Tromsoe IL and 2.5 from Bodo/Glimt, so Bodo/Glimt come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Bodo/Glimt come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Bodo/Glimt to win. Bodo/Glimt shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-2.5), and we make them about 66% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.