Cambuur v AZ Alkmaar prediction

CambuurLLDWD

AZ AlkmaarWWDLW

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Cambuur and 2.7 from AZ Alkmaar, so AZ Alkmaar come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 4.1 goals between the two (xG 1.4-2.7), landing about 70% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say

✓Cambuur have won one of their last five.

✓AZ Alkmaar have won three of their last five.

✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.

✓Both teams scored in two of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

25 Feb 2023AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 Cambuur

28 Aug 2022Cambuur 0 - 1 AZ Alkmaar

22 Jan 2022AZ Alkmaar 0 - 0 Cambuur

3 Oct 2021Cambuur 1 - 3 AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar have won three of the last four meetings, with one drawn.

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Full fixture list

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Match outlookPSV Eindhoven to win · 1.23Share

14:30

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Match outlookBoth teams to score · 1.40Share

16:45

FeyenoordvAZ Alkmaar

★★★★★

This should be an open game: we make it around 3.3 goals between the two (xG 2.0-1.4), landing about 69% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

Match outlookOver 2.5 goals · 1.39Share

18:00

For SittardvTwente

★★★★★

This should be an open game: we make it around 3.0 goals between the two (xG 1.2-1.8), landing about 67% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

Match outlookOver 2.5 goals · 1.36Share