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★★★★★This should be an open game: we make it around 3.7 goals between the two (xG 1.4-2.2), landing about 74% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
Eredivisie
FootballThe fixtures we cover this week with what we expect from each game, and the table as it stands.
18Matches
5Top picks
First kickoff
This week
Saturday 21 November
v★★★★★
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★★★★★Feyenoord are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.7-0.9), and we make them about 80% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★This should be an open game: we make it around 3.3 goals between the two (xG 2.0-1.3), landing about 68% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 66%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.9-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 66%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Sunday 22 November
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★★★★★Twente are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.6-0.7), and we make them about 83% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★Ajax are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.6-1.0), and we make them about 74% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.2-1.7), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
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★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.8-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Friday 27 November
Saturday 28 November
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 64%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
v★★★★★This should be an open game: we make it around 4.0 goals between the two (xG 2.9-1.1), landing about 80% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 68%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Sunday 29 November
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.8), and we make both teams to score about 65%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.9-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 66%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 60%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
v★★★★★This covers AZ Alkmaar or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
v★★★★★Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.7), and we make both teams to score about 64%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
