What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Nijmegen and 2.2 from PSV Eindhoven, so PSV Eindhoven come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Nijmegen to score. This is about Nijmegen's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 76%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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