Nõmme United v Pärnu JK Vaprus prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.7 goals from Nõmme United and 1.7 from Pärnu JK Vaprus, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Pärnu JK Vaprus or Draw. This covers Pärnu JK Vaprus or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.50, which works out at about 67 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.