How it turned out
The game finished with 7 goals. Both teams scored. We made Under 3.5 goals 65%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We like this pick because the price looks good. We think there will be fewer than 4 goals in this game. The odds of 1.86 seem fair for this bet.
What the numbers say
✓Benfica have won two of their last five.
✓Heart Of Midlothian have won one of their last five.
One thing to watch
A goal against the run of play opens the game up, and a tight total can slip away fast. At around 65% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
