Lech Poznan v Sunderland prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Lech Poznan and 1.9 from Sunderland, so Sunderland come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Lech Poznan come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Sunderland or Draw. This covers Sunderland or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.17, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.