What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Dover Athletic and 1.6 from Leicester, so Leicester come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Leicester to win. Leicester shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-1.6), and we make them about 73% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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