How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Klaksvik to win 61%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from B36 Tórshavn and 1.9 from Klaksvik, so Klaksvik come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Klaksvik to win. Klaksvik shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-1.9), and we make them about 62% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.56, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Klaksvik have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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