How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Klaksvik or Draw 80%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Klaksvik and 1.0 from Víkingur, so Klaksvik come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Klaksvik or Draw. This covers Klaksvik or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.20, which works out at about 83 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Klaksvik have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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