What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Asteras Tripolis and 1.3 from Aris, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Asteras Tripolis come into this on two straight defeats. Aris come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Aris or Draw. This covers Aris or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.29, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Aris have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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