Kalamata v Iraklis prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.8 goals from Kalamata and 1.5 from Iraklis, so Kalamata come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Iraklis come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.7 goals between the two (xG 1.6-1.2), landing about 79% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.