Kalamata v OFI Crete: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 7. Both teams scored. We made Over 1.5 goals 76%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.8 goals from Kalamata and 1.2 from OFI Crete, so Kalamata come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

OFI Crete come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.9 goals between the two (xG 1.5-1.4), landing about 79% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.