How it turned out
We projected about 1.8 goals and the game finished with 2.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.6 goals from Panetolikos and 1.3 from Olympiakos, so Olympiakos come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 1.8 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Panetolikos come into this on three straight defeats. Olympiakos come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Olympiakos to score 2 or fewer. This is about Olympiakos's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 73%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.43, which works out at about 70 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Olympiakos have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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