How it turned out
We projected about 3.2 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Zalaegerszeg or Draw 73%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from Zalaegerszeg and 1.4 from MTK Budapest, so Zalaegerszeg come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Zalaegerszeg or Draw. This covers Zalaegerszeg or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
MTK Budapest have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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