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Football/Iceland Besta deildin/Thór Akureyri v Stjarnan
Iceland Besta deildin

Thór Akureyri v Stjarnan prediction

Thór Akureyri crestThór Akureyri5th in Relegation Round · 24 ptsLLW
v
Stjarnan crestStjarnan2nd in Relegation Round · 31 ptsWLWLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Thór Akureyri and 2.0 from Stjarnan, so Stjarnan come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Stjarnan come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Stjarnan or Draw. This covers Stjarnan or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Thór Akureyri have won one of their last three.
✓Stjarnan have won two of their last five.

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More Iceland Besta deildin fixtures

Full fixture list
Breiðablik crestBreiðablikvKeflavíkKeflavík crest★★★★★
Breiðablik are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-1.2), and we make them about 61% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookBreiðablik to win · 1.92Share
Valur crestValurvKA AkureyriKA Akureyri crest★★★★★
Valur are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.4-1.5), and we make them about 55% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookValur to win · 2.05Share
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