What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Egypt and 0.7 from South Africa, so Egypt come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
South Africa come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Egypt to win. Egypt are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.4-0.7), and we make them about 58% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.72, which works out at about 58 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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