Belgium shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-2.0), and we make them about 59% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
Spain shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.8-2.4), and we make them about 80% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
England are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.4-0.9), and we make them about 80% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Montenegro are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.6-0.7), and we make them about 65% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Azerbaijan shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.5-1.7), and we make them about 68% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
Netherlands are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.9), and we make them about 68% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Scotland are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.7), and we make them about 73% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Germany shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.9), and we make them about 60% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
Slovakia are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-0.6), and we make them about 73% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Kosovo are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-1.2), and we make them about 59% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Norway are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.2-0.9), and we make them about 72% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Austria are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.6-0.8), and we make them about 61% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
This covers Northern Ireland or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
Portugal are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.0-1.0), and we make them about 68% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Sweden are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-1.0), and we make them about 66% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Russia are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.7-0.9), and we make them about 64% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.