What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Uzbekistan and 1.4 from Russia, so Russia come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Russia or Draw. This covers Russia or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Uzbekistan have won two of their last three.
✓Russia are unbeaten in their last three — two wins and one draw.
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