Hapoel Ramat Gan v Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction

What to expect

We expect about 0.8 goals from Hapoel Ramat Gan and 2.5 from Maccabi Tel Aviv, so Maccabi Tel Aviv come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Maccabi Tel Aviv to win. Maccabi Tel Aviv shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.8-2.5), and we make them about 76% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.