What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from Hapoel Tel Aviv and 0.9 from Ironi Tiberias, so Hapoel Tel Aviv come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Hapoel Tel Aviv come into this on two straight wins. Ironi Tiberias come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Hapoel Tel Aviv to win. Hapoel Tel Aviv are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-0.9), and we make them about 58% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.24, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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