What to expect
We expect about 2.3 goals from Maccabi Haifa and 1.3 from Maccabi Netanya, so Maccabi Haifa come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Maccabi Haifa come into this on two straight defeats. Maccabi Netanya come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Maccabi Haifa to win. Maccabi Haifa are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.3-1.3), and we make them about 61% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.72, which works out at about 58 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Maccabi Haifa have won three of the last five meetings.
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