How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 2.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from Kyoto and 0.9 from Shimizu S-Pulse, so Kyoto come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Shimizu S-Pulse come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Kyoto to score. This is about Kyoto's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.6 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 79%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.26, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Shimizu S-Pulse have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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