What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Shimizu S-Pulse and 0.9 from Verdy, so Shimizu S-Pulse come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Shimizu S-Pulse come into this on three straight defeats. Verdy come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Shimizu S-Pulse to score. This is about Shimizu S-Pulse's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 73%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Shimizu S-Pulse have won two of the last two meetings.
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