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Football/J1 League/Verdy v FC Tokyo
J1 League · Ajinomoto Stadium

Verdy v FC Tokyo prediction

Verdy crestVerdy20th of 20 · 4 ptsDWDLL
v
FC Tokyo crestFC Tokyo4th of 20 · 20 ptsWWWWW

What to expect

We expect about 0.7 goals from Verdy and 1.2 from FC Tokyo, so FC Tokyo come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 1.9 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

Verdy come into this on two straight defeats. FC Tokyo come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: FC Tokyo or Draw. This covers FC Tokyo or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.15, which works out at about 87 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Verdy have won one of their last five.
✓FC Tokyo are unbeaten in their last five — five wins and no draws.
✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

15 Sept 2025FC Tokyo 1 - 0 Verdy
2 Apr 2025Verdy 2 - 2 FC Tokyo
17 Aug 2024FC Tokyo 0 - 0 Verdy
13 Apr 2024Verdy 2 - 2 FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo have won one of the last four meetings, with three drawn.

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More J1 League fixtures

Full fixture list
Sanfrecce Hiroshima crestSanfrecce HiroshimavKyotoKyoto crest★★★★★
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.9), and we make them about 57% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookSanfrecce Hiroshima to win · 1.33Share
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