What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Okzhetpes Kokshetau and 1.6 from Ordabasy Shymkent, so Ordabasy Shymkent come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Ordabasy Shymkent to win. Ordabasy Shymkent shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-1.6), and we make them about 53% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 53 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.77, which works out at about 56 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn Okzhetpes Kokshetau a draw or better. The price is shorter than our own read of about 53%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
