What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from La Coruna and 1.1 from Sevilla, so La Coruna come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. There should be goals here — around 2.9 between the two (xG 1.7-1.2) — but they look like coming from one end. A clean sheet for one side is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 50 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.85, which works out at about 54 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
