What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Elche and 1.6 from Sociedad, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Elche come into this on two straight defeats. Sociedad come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.6-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 62%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
One well-drilled defence, or a game that turns one-sided, and this is gone. We make it about 62%: a lean, not a lock.
