What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Levante and 1.7 from Betis, so Betis come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Levante come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Betis to win. Betis shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.4-1.7), and we make them about 45% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 45 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.68, which works out at about 37 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn Levante a draw or better. We only make this about 45%, so it's far from a lock.
