How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Over 1.5 goals 73%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Osasuna and 1.2 from Levante, so Osasuna come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Osasuna come into this on five straight defeats. Levante come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.8 goals between the two (xG 1.6-1.2), landing about 75% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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