What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Valencia and 1.4 from Sociedad, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Valencia come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Valencia have not won any of their last five.
✓Sociedad have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
17 May 2026Sociedad 3 - 4 Valencia
16 Aug 2025Valencia 1 - 1 Sociedad
19 Jan 2025Valencia 1 - 0 Sociedad
28 Sept 2024Sociedad 3 - 0 Valencia
16 May 2024Sociedad 1 - 0 Valencia
