What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Dundalk and 1.4 from St. Patricks, so St. Patricks come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
St. Patricks come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.2-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 53%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 53 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Dundalk have won one of their last five.
✓St. Patricks have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
24 Jul 2026St. Patricks 1 - 1 Dundalk
6 Apr 2026Dundalk 2 - 0 St. Patricks
27 Feb 2026St. Patricks 4 - 0 Dundalk
5 Sept 2024Dundalk 1 - 2 St. Patricks
3 Jun 2024St. Patricks 2 - 3 Dundalk
