What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Shamrock Rovers and 1.2 from Bohemians, so Shamrock Rovers come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Bohemians to score 1 or fewer. This is about Bohemians's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 66%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.45, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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