How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Shelbourne and 0.8 from Sligo Rovers, so Shelbourne come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Sligo Rovers come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Shelbourne to score 2 or fewer. This is about Shelbourne's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.6 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 69%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.50, which works out at about 67 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Shelbourne have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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