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Football/League of Ireland/Shelbourne v St. Patricks
League of Ireland · Tolka Park

Shelbourne v St. Patricks: how it went

Shelbourne crestShelbourneLDWLL
1 - 2
St. Patricks crestSt. PatricksLWDDD
Full time

How it turned out

The game finished with 3 goals. Both teams scored.

What we said beforehand

Shelbourne come into this on two straight defeats. St. Patricks come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.3 goals in total (xG 1.1-1.2), keeping it under more often than not (about 57%). Clear chances should be at a premium.

We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.82, which works out at about 55 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
Shelbourne have won one of their last five.
St. Patricks have won one of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

15 May 2026St. Patricks 0 - 1 Shelbourne
6 Mar 2026Shelbourne 2 - 3 St. Patricks
1 Nov 2025Shelbourne 0 - 0 St. Patricks
16 Jun 2025St. Patricks 0 - 1 Shelbourne
9 May 2025Shelbourne 2 - 1 St. Patricks
Shelbourne have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

One thing to watch

One end-to-end spell, or a defensive mistake, and the goals can pile up before either side settles. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 57%.

More League of Ireland fixtures

Full fixture list
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