How it turned out
The game finished with 4 goals. Both teams scored. We made Under 3.5 goals 73%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. Low-scoring lean. The model projects about 3.0 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Waterford are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓Bohemians have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent results
6 Apr 2026Bohemians 1 - 1 Waterford
6 Mar 2026Waterford 0 - 1 Bohemians
19 Sept 2025Bohemians 2 - 1 Waterford
20 Jun 2025Waterford 2 - 1 Bohemians
2 May 2025Bohemians 1 - 2 Waterford
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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