What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Waterford and 1.5 from Dundalk, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.46, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Waterford are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓Dundalk have won one of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
26 Jun 2026Dundalk 2 - 3 Waterford
4 May 2026Waterford 3 - 3 Dundalk
13 Mar 2026Dundalk 5 - 0 Waterford
13 Sept 2024Waterford 2 - 1 Dundalk
28 Jun 2024Dundalk 0 - 2 Waterford
